In order to effectively predict the human reliability of pilots under single-pilot operations (SPO) to ensure aviation safety, the CREAM method is improved to construct a prediction model of human error probability in line with SPO mode. Based on characteristics of the SPO and intelligent cockpit, the common performance conditions (CPCs) are modified and the weighting factors of cognitive function for improved CPCs are analyzed. In addition, new malfunctions in the intelligent aircraft that may arise are identified. In order to verify the improved CREAM method, a malfunction scenario of engine failure under SPO is designed, and the control mode of human cognitive activities corresponding to calculated results is tactical, which conforms to reality, indicating that the improved CREAM method is reasonable.
@inproceedings{tan2024,
author = {Tan, Wei and Li, Jiaqi and Cheng, Zongxu},
editor = {Masson, Dimitri},
publisher = {INCOSE},
title = {Human {Reliability} {Analysis} of {Single-Pilot} {Operations}
{Based} on {Improved} {CREAM} {Method}},
booktitle = {Proceedings International Conference on Human Systems
Integration},
volume = {3},
date = {2024-08-29},
url = {https://hsi-wg.github.io/conferences/HSI2024/proceedings/human-reliability-analysis-of-single-pilot-operations-based-on-improved-cream-method.html},
doi = {10.65351/hsi24.018},
langid = {en},
abstract = {In order to effectively predict the human reliability of
pilots under single-pilot operations (SPO) to ensure aviation
safety, the CREAM method is improved to construct a prediction model
of human error probability in line with SPO mode. Based on
characteristics of the SPO and intelligent cockpit, the common
performance conditions (CPCs) are modified and the weighting factors
of cognitive function for improved CPCs are analyzed. In addition,
new malfunctions in the intelligent aircraft that may arise are
identified. In order to verify the improved CREAM method, a
malfunction scenario of engine failure under SPO is designed, and
the control mode of human cognitive activities corresponding to
calculated results is tactical, which conforms to reality,
indicating that the improved CREAM method is reasonable.}
}
For attribution, please cite this work as:
Tan, Wei, Jiaqi Li, and Zongxu Cheng. 2024. “Human Reliability
Analysis of Single-Pilot Operations Based on Improved CREAM
Method.” In Proceedings International Conference on Human
Systems Integration, edited by Dimitri Masson. Vol. 3. INCOSE. https://doi.org/10.65351/hsi24.018.