Human Reliability Analysis of Single-Pilot Operations Based on Improved CREAM Method

Authors

Wei Tan

Jiaqi Li

Zongxu Cheng

Published

August 29, 2024

Doi
Abstract

In order to effectively predict the human reliability of pilots under single-pilot operations (SPO) to ensure aviation safety, the CREAM method is improved to construct a prediction model of human error probability in line with SPO mode. Based on characteristics of the SPO and intelligent cockpit, the common performance conditions (CPCs) are modified and the weighting factors of cognitive function for improved CPCs are analyzed. In addition, new malfunctions in the intelligent aircraft that may arise are identified. In order to verify the improved CREAM method, a malfunction scenario of engine failure under SPO is designed, and the control mode of human cognitive activities corresponding to calculated results is tactical, which conforms to reality, indicating that the improved CREAM method is reasonable.

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Citation

BibTeX citation:
@inproceedings{tan2024,
  author = {Tan, Wei and Li, Jiaqi and Cheng, Zongxu},
  editor = {Masson, Dimitri},
  publisher = {INCOSE},
  title = {Human {Reliability} {Analysis} of {Single-Pilot} {Operations}
    {Based} on {Improved} {CREAM} {Method}},
  booktitle = {Proceedings International Conference on Human Systems
    Integration},
  volume = {3},
  date = {2024-08-29},
  url = {https://hsi-wg.github.io/conferences/HSI2024/proceedings/human-reliability-analysis-of-single-pilot-operations-based-on-improved-cream-method.html},
  doi = {10.65351/hsi24.018},
  langid = {en},
  abstract = {In order to effectively predict the human reliability of
    pilots under single-pilot operations (SPO) to ensure aviation
    safety, the CREAM method is improved to construct a prediction model
    of human error probability in line with SPO mode. Based on
    characteristics of the SPO and intelligent cockpit, the common
    performance conditions (CPCs) are modified and the weighting factors
    of cognitive function for improved CPCs are analyzed. In addition,
    new malfunctions in the intelligent aircraft that may arise are
    identified. In order to verify the improved CREAM method, a
    malfunction scenario of engine failure under SPO is designed, and
    the control mode of human cognitive activities corresponding to
    calculated results is tactical, which conforms to reality,
    indicating that the improved CREAM method is reasonable.}
}
For attribution, please cite this work as:
Tan, Wei, Jiaqi Li, and Zongxu Cheng. 2024. “Human Reliability Analysis of Single-Pilot Operations Based on Improved CREAM Method.” In Proceedings International Conference on Human Systems Integration, edited by Dimitri Masson. Vol. 3. INCOSE. https://doi.org/10.65351/hsi24.018.